Boniface Alexandre, former Provisional President of Haiti (2004 to 2006, after the fall of J. Bertrand Aristide), said fear that the current political crisis, degenerate into a social situation uncontrollable.

"The electoral process, to the phase where it is, may lead to civil war whose we will all both responsible and victims" Mr Alexandre warned.

Remember that massive fraud in favor of candidate (Jude Célestin) and the platform in power (INITE), the violence and intimidation of voters in the election on November 28, preceded a wave of violent protests across the country, following the publication of preliminary results contested of the first round. Political crisis that has caused 5 fatalities and over 96 injured, 38 by bullets.

It is not certain that the results of the recount and verification of the minutes by the mission of the Organization of American States (OAS), whose experts are expected to arrive in Port-au-Prince today, is sufficient to bring the calm in a population, whose patience has obviously reached its limits.

Especially since, the OAS lacks credibility and impartiality in the eyes of the population that sees in the agreement "OAS - Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) - Government" a strategy of the international community to legitimize the candidate of power Jude Célestin.

Let's add to this explosive cocktail, the second round originally scheduled for February 16, 2011 which will inevitably be delayed, as admitted by the Head of State. And finally, the departure of President René Préval, the February 7 but could, in the absence of an elected president to replace him at that time, remain in power until May 14, 2011. Which inevitably will be perceived by people as the will of the Head of State to remain in power.

In presence of all these factors, without mentioning civil war, the risk of major slippage is large.

See also:

https://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-1979-haiti-elections-rene-preval-at-the-power-until-may-14-2011.html

https://www.haitilibre.com/article-1999-haiti-elections-tous-les-details-sur-l-entente-oea-gouvernement-cep.html (in french)

https://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-1944-haiti-elections-riots-toll-significantly-undervalued.html

S/ HaitiLibre